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Dolphin Entertainment, Inc. (DLPN)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 revenue rose 24.5% year over year to $12.68M; non‑GAAP adjusted operating income (AOI) turned positive to $0.49M, while GAAP net loss widened to $8.69M due to a $6.5M goodwill impairment and a $1.3M notes receivable write‑off .
  • Management reiterated FY 2024 targets: surpass ~$50M revenue and full‑year positive AOI; the release explicitly references “2024 estimated revenue guidance of $50.0M” and asserts a valuation disconnect (market cap ~0.25x FY24 revenue guidance as of Nov 13, 2024) .
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $6.6M at Sept 30, 2024 (down from $7.6M at year‑end); the company also received a $2.6M second cash installment tied to Blue Angels’ licensing in Q3 .
  • Capital actions and listing: DLPN effected a 1‑for‑2 reverse split on Oct 16, 2024 and subsequently regained Nasdaq $1.00 bid compliance on Nov 13, 2024—potential catalysts for trading/liquidity optics near term .
  • Street estimates: S&P Global consensus data was unavailable at time of query; therefore beats/misses vs. consensus cannot be determined (see Estimates Context).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Material top‑line growth and AOI inflection: Revenue up 24.5% YoY to $12.68M; AOI improved to $0.49M from $(0.82)M in Q3’23 as core operations strengthened despite non‑cash charges .
  • Ventures momentum and annuity tail: Blue Angels delivered a $2.6M Q3 cash installment; management expects institutional IMAX screenings starting Jan 2025 to provide multi‑year “annuity” revenue .
  • Strategic expansion vectors: Launch of Always Alpha (women’s sports management) and an AI brand‑safety partnership with Loti AI—both positioned as new revenue streams and cross‑sell opportunities across PR/influencer assets .

“During Q3, revenue increased by 24.5% year over year and we achieved $0.5 million in adjusted operating income... on track to deliver on our goals of surpassing $50 million in revenue and achieving adjusted operating income for full year 2024.” — CEO Bill O’Dowd

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP profitability impacted by non‑cash/non‑recurring items: Operating loss widened to $(8.15)M and net loss to $(8.69)M, driven by $6.5M goodwill impairment and a $1.3M notes receivable write‑off, plus ~$0.6M D&A .
  • Cash balance declined sequentially to $6.6M at Q3 end (from $9.8M at Q2 end, $7.6M at FY23 end), reflecting quarterly working capital dynamics and one‑time items .
  • Visibility on segment metrics remains limited: No quantified segment breakdown provided; reliance on narrative around PR/influencer/event units makes granular margin tracking by business line difficult .

Financial Results

Consolidated Summary (oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$15.20 $11.45 $12.68
Basic & Diluted EPS ($)$(0.02) $(0.08) $(0.80)
Adjusted Operating Income ($USD Millions)$1.00 $(0.14) $0.49
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(0.30) $(1.62) $(8.69)
Adjusted Operating Income Margin (%)6.6% (calc. from $1.00/$15.20) -1.2% (calc. from -$0.14/$11.45) 3.9% (calc. from $0.49/$12.68)

Notes: Q3 GAAP EPS reflects pre-/post‑reverse split reporting periods; reverse split effective Oct 16, 2024 (after Q3 quarter end) .

Operating Expense and Cash KPIs

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$15.1 $12.6 $20.8
Goodwill Impairment ($USD Millions)$0.19 $6.48
Notes Receivable Write‑Off ($USD Millions)$1.27
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions, end of period)$7.5 $9.8 $6.6
Blue Angels Cash Installment ($USD Millions)$2.6

Segment breakdown: Not disclosed quantitatively in the Q3 press release or call; management highlighted contributions from 42West, Shore Fire, The Door, Special Projects, and The Digital Dept., plus Elle Communications (acquired in July) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2024“Exceed $50 million” (positioned for >$50M) “Surpass $50 million”; press release references “2024 estimated revenue guidance of $50.0M” Maintained
Adjusted Operating IncomeFY 2024Positive full‑year AOI Positive full‑year AOI reiterated Maintained

Dividends/other: No dividend guidance provided. Corporate actions include a 1‑for‑2 reverse split effective Oct 16, 2024 and regaining Nasdaq $1.00 minimum bid compliance on Nov 13, 2024 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2024)Previous Mentions (Q2 2024)Current Period (Q3 2024)Trend
IMAX/Blue Angels annuityQ1: $3.4M revenue recognized; institutional IMAX tail expected; 150–200 theaters over years Q2: #1 on Prime Video Memorial Day; institutional roll‑out “later this year” Q3: $2.6M cash installment; institutional screenings start Jan 2025; treated as annuity Execution progress (cash realization; dated rollout)
Consumer products (Staple Gin)Launch; 96‑point Double Gold; national e‑commerce; Southern Glazer’s distribution anticipated Q2: Product/awards and distribution highlighted Q3: Continued distribution expansion; awards reiterated Scaling; early‑stage traction
Women’s sports (Always Alpha)Teased sports vertical build Q2: Plan to launch sports services (athlete mgmt) Q3: Always Alpha launched with Allyson Felix; focus on talent mgmt, brand partnerships, content, ventures Formal launch; pipeline building
AI/brand safety (Loti AI)Exploring AI/tech ventures generally Formal partnership for content protection; >450M images scanned daily; >95% takedown success; potential to evolve into a venture New initiative; monetization optionality
Cross‑sell and PR/events momentumRecord Q1 campaign volume; awards season strength Cannes/Tribeca/Upfronts; client renewals; influencer wins TIFF/Venice/Comic‑Con dominance; 60 Emmy nominations; GRAMMY campaigns; event bookings at MoMA/Academy Museum Broad‑based strength
Capital markets/listing1‑for‑2 reverse split; Nasdaq compliance regained Listing optics improved

Management Commentary

  • Strategy and valuation: “We see a stark mismatch between our current market cap and the intrinsic value of our assets... I am committed to further increasing my stake in Dolphin” .
  • FY24 outlook: “We are on track to exceed $50 million in revenue and [achieve] positive adjusted operating income for the full year 2024” .
  • Ventures pipeline: “We anticipate announcing our next major [IMAX] project soon” and see consumer product and live event slates ramping in 2025 .
  • Women’s sports: “Always Alpha... represents a compelling opportunity... timing aligns perfectly with the explosive growth we’re witnessing in women’s sports” .
  • AI initiative: “Our new collaboration with Loti AI... achieved removal in under a day with a success rate exceeding 95%... opens fresh revenue channels... launches [Dolphin] into the AI technology sphere” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Revenue drivers: Q3 YoY growth attributed to Special Projects and Elle Communications (impact PR) plus organic growth at 42West, Shore Fire, and The Door; cross‑selling momentum building .
  • Digital Dept seasonality: Q4 is “explosive” for influencer activations; expanding talent management in skincare/dermatology vertical and showrooms across NY/LA/Miami .
  • Blue Angels economics: $2.6M received in Q3 relates to earlier‑recognized revenue; >$3.4M cumulative cash vs. ~$2.25M cash investment already recouped; institutional theater rev‑share expected to run for years .
  • Loti AI economics: Paid client relationship; potential to expand into a venture in 2025 if pilot success scales across entertainment and into other verticals .
  • 2025 priorities: Focus on organic growth, expanding Always Alpha, impact PR, consumer products (liquor/skin care), content pipeline, and launching live events .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for EPS, revenue, and EBITDA for recent quarters; data was unavailable at query time due to an SPGI rate limitation. As a result, we cannot assess beats/misses vs. Wall Street consensus for Q3 2024 at this time. If you’d like, we can re‑query later to incorporate consensus deltas (and any intra‑quarter revisions).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Non‑GAAP operating trend improving: AOI positive again in Q3 despite sizable non‑cash charges; FY24 AOI positive remains likely per management, with Q4 seasonality a tailwind .
  • Valuation/catalyst setup: Management emphasizes a valuation disconnect (market cap ~0.25x FY24 revenue guidance); recent reverse split and Nasdaq compliance restoration may broaden investor access and improve liquidity optics near term .
  • Durable annuity potential: Blue Angels’ institutional IMAX rollout starting January 2025 can create a recurring revenue tail; next IMAX co‑production announcement is a potential catalyst .
  • New growth vectors: Always Alpha and Loti AI open incremental revenue streams (sports talent mgmt, brand partnerships, content, AI brand safety) with strong cross‑sell leverage across PR/influencer assets .
  • Watch cash/working capital: Cash declined to $6.6M in Q3; monitor Q4 seasonality and cash conversion as the company navigates growth investments and one‑offs .
  • 2025 narrative: Management plans multiple venture launches (consumer products, content, live events), with potential monetization “lottery tickets” that could be meaningful vs. current market cap if executed .

Appendix: Additional Source Highlights

  • Q3 press release metrics and non‑GAAP reconciliations, including AOI definition and Q3 reconciliation table .
  • Q2 press release for trend analysis, including revenue, operating loss, AOI reconciliation, balance sheet .
  • Q1 call for record revenue and AOI, Blue Angels revenue recognition and seasonality context .
  • Reverse split and Nasdaq bid compliance press releases for corporate actions .